How tense is the Korean peninsula?

• Missiles: 0 = none in 30 days · 1 = a launch in the last 30 days · 2 = a launch this week, or a long-range/nuclear-capable test.
• Border: 0 = quiet · 1 = minor activity (construction, loudspeakers) · 2 = weapons moved forward, shots fired or crossings.
• Rhetoric: 0 = routine · 1 = sharp statements · 2 = explicit military threats from Kim, Kim Yo Jong or official bodies.
• Kim and the military: 0 = none · 1 = military meetings or inspections · 2 = he oversees weapons tests or drills himself.
• Outside pressure: 0 = talks or calm · 1 = drills or new sanctions · 2 = large US-South Korea-Japan drills or a major confrontation.

The index is InsideNK's own judgement, based on reported events with sources. It is not a forecast.